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Ruby Walsh

Cheltenham Festival 2012

Ruby Walsh

Are you beginning to get excited about the Cheltenham Festival? We certainly are, it is the one race meeting that we never miss no matter what the weather. There is no such thing as a boring Cheltenham Festival; every one that we have attended (which I believe is about 10 of them) has been the racing highlight of the year, and we expect that 2012 will be just as good as the rest.

We note that Ruby Walsh failed to get his ban overturned, which does seem a little harsh. It means that he will miss Betfair Day at Newbury which is the best card before Cheltenham in March. There is still a chance that he might be able to ride in the Hennessey Gold Cup on 12th February at Leopardstown if he can persuade the stewards to defer the ban.

It seems to us that the ban was a little harsh in the first place. Whilst he was riding Pearl Swan and was leading Grumeti which was being ridden by Wayne Hutchinson the stewards decreed that he had caused interference. As a result Grumeti was awarded first place and Walsh got a three day ban. According to Walsh the interference was minimal. He agreed that is was sufficient to change the result of the race, but not to award a suspension.

Currently we are making our Cheltenham Festival picks. So far Quel Esprit is looking an interesting contender for the Gold Cup; more thoughts on this in the next post.

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Werner Heisenberg

Sports Betting and the Gap of Uncertainty

Werner Heisenberg

Werner Heisenberg

When it gets down to it, the only sure fire way to make money consistently out of gambling is on sports betting and poker. Of course many people claim that poker isn’t real gambling, it is really a game of skill just as is chess, though if you bet in chess that is still gambling isn’t it?

Anyway, back on topic, the reason why professional gamblers make a living out of sports betting is because they bet entirely with their brains and not with their heart. Sports betting is a skill that can be learned and improved upon, in fact it can continue to be improved upon throughout a lifetime.

Everything in life and the universe is based on imperfect information. We can even justify that statement by referring to Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principal, but that would be boring. The point is, however, that every decision we make from choosing a job or a spouse is a gamble; we can never be sure of the outcome.

What the clever sports better does is use all his knowledge and all the information that he can glean from his research to narrow the gap of uncertainty, and when he is able to narrow that gap more than the bookmaker is able to, he can consistently make bets with a positive expectation. He won’t win every time, but he will win more times than he will lose. Try your luck today at http://betting.betfair.com.

In future posts we will develop this concept a little further, but for now here is a picture of Werner Heisenberg who looks as if he is having a good day at the races.

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William Hill Winter Festival

William Hill Winter Festival

What better way to spend Boxing Day than attend the William Hill Winter Festival as the Kempton Park Racecourse? If you can’t attend live, then you can at least flop in front of the television and enjoy a great day of racing whilst your body recovers from yesterday’s festivities.

The festival lasts over 2 days and there is a total of 12 races. £0,000 race goers are expected to turn up, and unlike last year when bad weather meant the festival had to be postponed, this year mild weather is predicted with temperatures of around 15C being quite likely. If you are going to attend, remember that on Boxing Day there is no public transport, so it is best to get there early.

The most important race of the festival is the William Hill King George VI Steeple Chase which is on the first day. This Grade 1 race attracts a lot of attention, and betting is generally quite heavy. This time is should be a very exciting race as both the current champion Long Run and the two stable maces Kauto Star and Master Minded are amongst the expected field of 15 runners, so we can expect another clash of the titans.

At the time of writing the favourite was Long Run with odds of around 11/8 and Kauto Star was priced at 4/1. Third favourite Master Minded was priced at 8/1, but expect these odds to fluctuate somewhat.

The race covers 3 miles and includes 18 fences. It is for horses of four years and older. The first King George VI was run in 1937 and it was in honour of King George VI’s coronation.

Kauto Star

Kauto Star

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Aintree New Rules Trial

We are now entering December and the Aintree fences have not seen any real action since the Grand National back in April, but racing returns there this week. As it does, so do all the old controversies that envelope this wonderful racecourse re-raise their ugly heads.

Poor Ginger McCain has not made it. He passed away in September but before doing so he watched his son Donald’s trained horse Ballabriggs to victory, though the finishing stages of the race upset many people. The jockey was Jason Maguire and so intent was he on winning the race that he ignored the welfare of his ride which needed continual dousing with water along with oxygen after the race.

Much of the recent controversy regarding whipping arose as a direct result of that race, though overhead shots of bypassed fences where fallen horses were attended to by armies of vets did little to enamour the general public to the darker face of horse racing. Horse racing is a dangerous sport and the dangers apply to both man and beast.

Inevitably the spectacle resulted in a number of changes to future Grand Nationals which include changes to some fences and the fact that six year olds are no longer permitted to race and that only experienced jockeys will be permitted to ride. This weekend’s race will be the first time these rules will be trailed, though the races cover just a single lap rather that the two of the National.

Are we over-taming the National in an attempt to improve public relations? The way in which the British Horseracing Association (BHA) has meddled with the whipping rules is just one example of the damage that can be done to the sport when reacting to specific incidents. There will always be incidents in horse racing and if the sport is wound down reactively every time one occurs the whole spirit of the Grand National could be threatened.

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Is Whipping Horses Cruel?

Is Whipping Horses Cruel?

The horse racing world is embroiled in controversy following the resignation of Richard Hughes the jockey following two penalties that he had received for excessive use of the whip.

The new rules state that in a flat race the maximum number of times a horse can be whipped is 7, and that the maximum in the final furlong is 5 times. The limit in jump racing is 8 times. Richard Hughes had used the whip 6 times in the final furlong.

The jockeys are unhappy with the new rules and are threatening to strike. It seems that they have the support from most of the horse racing fraternity; owners, trainers and bookmakers are on the side of the jockeys. They argue that the penalties handed out to the jockeys are disproportional and that the new rules take away much of the thrill of the race.

None of us wish to see animals being treated cruelly, but is the use of the whip as barbaric as its antagonists would have us believe? If horses really suffered then would they not be put off from racing and certainly put off from giving their all? With so much adrenaline pumping through a horse’s blood stream in the final stages of a race would the horse be particularly sensitive to pain?

On the other hand there are many top figures in horse racing who are strongly opposed to the use of the whip. Outspoken opponents include Sir Peter O’Sullevanthe commentator, Charlie Brooks the trainer, and the top jockey John Francome. They consider the whip to be cruel and to detract from true horsemanship.

Modern whips are padded and are much less likely to injure a horse than the old fashioned leather riding crops which could cause cuts and bruises, but then the sight of any jockey pushing a horse past its limits by frantic whipping is a sickening sight.

Perhaps in the end the British Racing Authority has got things just about right in terms of limiting the amount of whipping that is permitted, but a little wrong in is over-zealous penalties; and perhaps monetary fines might be more appropriate than outright bans, particularly for small transgressions such as Richard Hughes’ single extra tap.

Traditional Riding Crop

Should this be banned from horse racing?

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